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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.# r: ~+ n, m% F& I, R
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.! _2 G/ R# U( R) E" v& }5 I" v4 z, A
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.: d: C G \+ ~# W% ?* ~
TD can give you 4.2%.
% ]! K8 {* e5 j" cBMO can give you 4.3%.
9 X3 u$ B5 b# n* Z9 ?% tRBC can give you 4.0%.
/ m, ^5 I3 n& z9 _4 V5 J n(Roughly)! v- T5 w# Y! y
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.( ?' \9 y. o- N, j. y! O
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.
# u* B6 g8 A3 t {" W9 mAlso, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again. Y) k E) ~' E% `3 d4 ?2 f
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
! ]0 j& w" Q3 GRough calculation:6 W# s+ k) t. w5 J K4 ^0 n
Right now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03) K# B3 ^% b$ R
Buy 10000 US cost you 1050004 D9 H4 K: E' ~* ]5 u: T
Deposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
1 z T: E$ j4 JIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.; \7 N i$ r, K7 z8 e
If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.
/ V& m. X. R2 s0 ^$ P; r5 sI am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
, ~/ E, F' E: V9 E$ i" tBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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