10月份卡加里地产报告

音响神仙鱼

link: http://www.creb.com/public/hbuyer/hb-stats-residential.htm

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" J; ^# q" y7 `FOUR MONTHS OF INCREASING INVENTORY AND
' I5 k, d/ p& `" w2 r9 ISUBSEQUENT PRICE REDUCTIONS GIVE BUYERS A WELCOME EDGE

Calgary, November 1, 2006 – MLS® listings remained strong in October 2006, providing buyers with more product to choose from, according to figures released by the Calgary Real Estate Board (CREB®).

6 g, n8 L3 X8 |5 d8 X) u* yOctober combined residential sales totaled 2,122, showing a slight decrease of 2.66 per cent from last month's sales of 2,180 and showing a decrease of 17.69 per cent from October 2005 when the sales were recorded at 2,578. The following shows the breakdown of the October combined sales; 1,492 single-family residences, 619 condominium, and 11 mobile homes. October 2005 sales in the same categories were, 1,806, 760, and 12, respectively.
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- V5 Q: w% r* C' P7 _+ ]' TThe average combined residential sale price for October 2006 was $374,067, showing a 46.90 per cent increase over October 2005, when the average price was $254,643, and a 1.12 per cent increase over last month's average price of $369,928. Broken out, the following is a comparison of single-family, condominium, and mobile home average sale prices for the month of October 2006 over 2005: single-family $413,712 / $284,206; condominium $283,888 / $187,661; and mobile home $71,309 / $47,658.
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October 2006 new residential combined listings totaled 4,257. This is a 51.44 per cent increase over October 2005, when 2,811 new listings came to the market and showing an 11 per cent decrease over the 4,783 homes listed in September.
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Condominium sales in October totaled 619 showing a decrease of 18.55 per cent from October 2005's sales of 760 and a 7.20 per cent decrease over the 667 condominiums sold in September 2006. The average sale price of a condominium in October 2006 was $283,888 a 51.28 per cent increase from October 2005 when the average price was $187,661 and a 1.66 per cent decrease from last month's record breaking condominium average price of $288,676.

"Buyers have a welcome window of opportunity with this considerable increase of inventory", says CREB® President, Kevin Clark. "Sellers must be competitive to sell before Christmas and buyers may lose out by waiting until spring," he continued. "This is an unusual market, so confirm with your REALTOR® that you are making the best decisions."

Average price information can be useful in establishing trends over time, but does not indicate actual prices in centres comprised of widely divergent neighbourhoods or account for price differentials between geographical areas. The median price is determined by selecting the middle number of total sale prices – the combined residential median price for October 2006 remained the same as September at $333,000; but showing a 49.33 per cent increase from October 2005, when the median price was $223,000.
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The Calgary Real Estate Board is a professional body of 5,359 licensed brokers and registered agents, representing 259 Member offices. The Board does not generate statistics or analysis of any individual member or company's market share. All MLS® active listings for Calgary and area may be found on the Board’s website at www.creb.com. SINGLE FAMILY        2006        2005        2006 YTD        2005 YTD        %Change
0 R& D" l9 A  H) O- HAverage Sale Price        410,326        283,523        381,004        273,917        39.09%
0 t; O' e( Y0 X  ?. aListings        3,497        2,330        26,068        23,701        9.99%
7 m5 u  x9 p& X, T$ R$ rSales        1,493        1,891        18,582        17,594       
, ^: X% a, `8 E  g5.62%
  k& U2 f, I2 o) |$ rDollar Volume        612,616,312        536,141,419        7,079,819,935        4,819,303,773        46.91%
; S( K6 L1 n$ G5 KSales to Listing Ratio        42.69%        81.16%        71.28%        74.23%        -3.97%
Median Price        373,000        249,000        346,815        244,000        42.14%
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CONDOMINIUM                                       
9 q' u3 j. i+ G% x2 `0 k4 NAverage Sale Price        288,676        183,217        255,396        181,538        40.68%
- U- N" r7 J4 F; i7 ~  y& {Listings        1,268        893        9,676        8,886        8.89%
Sales        667        731        7,734        6,700        15.43%
) Q) `; b; @/ N6 u# F6 D, NDollar Volume        192,546,611        133,931,268        1,975,233,059        1,216,306,177        62.40%

0 I9 P, w8 O2 p9 jSales to Listing Ratio        52.60%        81.86%        79.93%       
75.40%        6.01%
* J* l, r% U  I# V, p8 \7 f, @3 [Median Price        262,000        164,850        238,600        162,000        47.28%
  
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' f" }% k3 F0 h" A4 `Average Sale Price (incl. in Residential)        64,025        38,381        49,166        38,936        26.27%
, `& H6 h4 D- o- Z- wListings (incl. in Residential)        18        27        191        292        -34.59
Sales (incl. in Residential)        20        19        173        127        36.22%
3 g3 A2 U; m6 s8 {# SDollar Volume (incl. in Residential)        1,280,500        729,240        8,505,688        4,944,830        72.01%
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8 N- e* X. l1 ?. ?Sales to Listing Ratio (incl. in Residential)        111.11%        70.37%        90.58%        70.37%        28.71%
4 ~$ X4 t9 E4 t; VMedian Price        60,000        37,000        43,000        35,000        22.86%
  
RURAL w/HOME                                       
Average Sale Price        596,247        492,789        672,624        500,494        34.39%
Listings        184        152        1,505        1,525        -1.31%
Sales        73        75        872        782        11.51%
Dollar Volume        43,526,000        36,959,180        586,527,891        391,386,274        49.86%

4 N- q- B( ?0 [5 o9 N' q" F8 ^Sales to Listing Ratio        39.67%        49.34%        57.94%        51.28%        12.99%
Median Price        567,500        455,000        580000        440,000        31.82%
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RURAL LAND                                       
- t  x, S- j5 c( L2 y, tAverage Sale Price        731,137        248,272        525,749        295,913        77.67%
2 u# y9 r5 n; s. q' d9 P- {" CListings        85        70        634        538        17.84%
Sales        30        39        357        260        37.31%
$ n& K9 k- V- H' l6 V$ Y% WDollar Volume        21,934,100        9,682,600        187,692,481        76,937,469        143.95%
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1 D/ X8 E* |/ k' K2 D: OSales to Listing Ratio        35.29%        55.71%        56.31%        48.33%        16.52%
/ O- U2 |# T  q& sMedian Price        460,000        187,250        300,500        189,000        58.99%

RESIDENTIAL COMBINED (Single Family, Condo, Mobile)                                       
. Z# |' e' T+ d  H# rAverage Sale Price        369,928        253,995        342,163        247,351        38.33%
Listings        4,783        3,250        35,935        32,879        9.29%
) p6 f' @9 a4 v+ N6 x& fSales        2,180        2,641        26,489        24,421       
8.47%
$ w* H- y/ [) C+ QDollar Volume       
806,443,423        670,801,927        9,063,558,682        6,040,554,780        50.05%
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: m4 K! A) T; {7 ?9 V6 rSales to Listing Ratio       
) ^  e, r8 f" Z- s' R5 J) w45.58%        81.26%        73.71%        74.28%        -0.76%
% m! b8 K* S: ^8 U; i% CMedian Price        333,000        233,500        310,000        220,000        40.91%
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9 w- V2 t/ ~$ h: S8 M1 B4 N" R0 y9 @TOTAL MLS®                                       
3 z$ V& [! w8 w$ {$ ^' D9 ~3 LAverage Sale Price        381,911        260,415        354,924        255,621        38.85%
Listings        5,052        3,472        38,074        34,942        8.96%
/ a- Y3 [& }) b2 wSales        2,283        2,755        27,718        25,463        8.86%
: [( g$ D% D/ f: x1 b: `" M. E& z8 KDollar Volume        871,903,523       
717,443,707        9,837,779,054        6,508,878,523        51.14%

& M" Y8 |& U2 Y* D" tSales to Listing Ratio        45.19%        79.35%        72.80%        72.87%        -0.10%
  

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; a) p  v% Q& B& {( w' P8 L2006 StatisticsJanuary 2006        April 2006        July 2006        October 2006
February 2006        May 2006        August 2006         
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2005 StatisticsJanuary 2005        April 2005        July 2005        October 2005
: t1 A* G- g5 {/ Y' gFebruary 2005         May 2005        August 2005        November 2005
March 2005         June 2005        September 2005        December 2005

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2004 StatisticsJanuary 2004        April 2004         July 2004        October 2004
February 2004        May 2004         August 2004        November 2004
& o0 ?& c& R: y6 g5 y& B/ PMarch 2004        June 2004        September 2004        December 2004


* H9 [% i$ n" a, N6 V; A3 d* b! O2003 StatisticsJanuary 2003        April 2003        July 2003        October 2003
February 2003        May 2003        August 2003        November 2003
March 2003        June 2003        September 2003        December 2003
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2002 StatisticsJanuary 2002        April 2002        July 2002        October 2002
& N7 P4 l" t1 n1 |6 AFebruary 2002        May 2002        August 2002        November 2002
, f/ |/ O+ U4 _March 2002        June 2002        September 2002        December 2002
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8 N1 p: y  W& l2001 StatisticsJanuary 2001        April 2001        July 2001        October 2001
February 2001        May 2001        August 2001        November 2001
March 2001        June 2001        September 2001        December 2001
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* s) r# `0 L. j6 X9 O* @1 M2000 StatisticsJanuary 2000        April 2000        July 2000        October 2000
+ i# Z# V: y  SFebruary 2000        May 2000        August 2000        November 2000
March 2000        June 2000        September 2000        December 2000
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+ n. p, f; G9 ?2 k! tResidential refers to single-family homes, condominiums, and mobile homes combined.
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The use of average price information can be useful in establishing trends when applied over a period of time, i.e. six months or longer. The Calgary Real Estate Board cautions that an average price does not indicate the actual value of any particular property. Those requiring specific information on property values should contact a REALTOR.
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木头

还在涨嘛.

醉酒当歌

参看《醉酒观察》，房子涨价的原因，是因为假数据，也就是10月最后10天的数据，是没有的。www.creb.com显然欺骗了很多人的眼睛。但是，逃不过我，因为每一个数据我都记得。

苹果鸭梨

既然都是假数据, 那什么都是假的.
醉酒的一切推断都是假设基础上的.
7 W+ |5 z' Y  k; M+ K按醉酒的观察, 卡城的房子在降价.
" L+ I& X, j; B% ^到目前为止, 爱城的房子还在缓慢上涨. 当价格接近时, 很多人就会搬到卡城了.
! q2 K; ^9 a0 ^* d1 c( T- z2 w愿此美梦成真.

醉酒当歌

可怜的炒房人。我只能这么说了。"卡城的房子在降价"不是我的观察，而且卡城任何人都不否认的事实，包括我认识的3个投资者朋友亲口承认。我能说的，如果来卡城买房子，那么砍价2-5万都是很正常的。

原帖由 苹果鸭梨 于 2006-11-8 00:01 发表
既然都是假数据, 那什么都是假的.
醉酒的一切推断都是假设基础上的.
按醉酒的观察, 卡城的房子在降价.
3 w7 n/ [, |& O9 O到目前为止, 爱城的房子还在缓慢上涨. 当价格接近时, 很多人就会搬到卡城了.
愿此美梦成真.

[ 本帖最后由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-11-12 00:34 编辑 ]

音响神仙鱼

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-11-7 20:44 发表
' x' ?' [8 w& T* w: Q9 ^7 G& S+ t参看《醉酒观察》，房子涨价的原因，是因为假数据，也就是10月最后10天的数据，是没有的。www.creb.com显然欺骗了很多人的眼睛。但是，逃不过我，因为每一个数据我都记得。

如果你觉得www.creb.com数据欺骗了你, 你应该一个数据也不要用www.creb.com网站的, 包括每天的数据. 不过这样一来, 只能用直觉来支持你的观点了.

醉酒当歌

以前的creb.com网站数据每天是更新的，现在的这个网站从10月20日以后server down然后经常数据很多日没有更新，这就是我说的不可信的原因。
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原帖由 音响神仙鱼 于 2006-11-12 09:34 发表

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  T8 d1 K/ c1 }2 O( S9 D如果你觉得www.creb.com数据欺骗了你, 你应该一个数据也不要用www.creb.com网站的, 包括每天的数据. 不过这样一来, 只能用直觉来支持你的观点了.

音响神仙鱼

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-11-12 12:08 发表
以前的creb.com网站数据每天是更新的，现在的这个网站从10月20日以后server down然后经常数据很多日没有更新，这就是我说的不可信的原因。
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7 h+ v  ~0 C7 K% @  x8 v, k其实你所说的SERVER DOWN问题, 很早以前已经有过, 不是从10月20日后故意出现的. 每天更新的数据也不一定就百分之百及时准确, 每月总结的时候把遗留的数据修正也是可以的, 例如十年兄卖的房子就是一个月后才在网站放上SOLD SIGN的. 我相信MLS官方公布的报告的公正性和权威性.

醉酒当歌

提醒一下，creb.com是realtor网站。

原帖由 音响神仙鱼 于 2006-11-12 13:00 发表
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我相信MLS官方公布的报告的公正性和权威性. ...

醉酒当歌

以前有过SERVER DOWN但是没有看过假数据，在我观察的几个月内。
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原帖由 音响神仙鱼 于 2006-11-12 13:00 发表
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8 C7 e* x1 Q( S3 J, j3 x) }# {其实你所说的SERVER DOWN问题, 很早以前已经有过, 不是从10月20日后故意出现的. 每天更新的数据也不一定就百分之百及时准确, 每月总结的时候把遗留的数据修正也是可以的, 例如十年兄卖的房子就是一个月后才 ...

音响神仙鱼

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-11-12 17:02 发表
提醒一下，creb.com是realtor网站。
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) r2 q4 n) s0 v$ f4 [5 ^友情提示, MLS 和 REALTOR是一家人呐, MLS是为REALTOR买卖房屋而设置的系统.

音响神仙鱼

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-11-12 17:27 发表
1 l- C1 {$ B( M2 X以前有过SERVER DOWN但是没有看过假数据，在我观察的几个月内。

还有一个数据来源可以参考, 是加拿大统计局, 这是八月份的房屋价格指数: http://www.statcan.ca/Daily/English/061011/d061011b.htm, 比起七月份CALGARY升3.5%, EDMONTON升6.8%.

dogyear

Z

原帖由 音响神仙鱼 于 2006-11-12 21:00 发表
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友情提示, MLS 和 REALTOR是一家人呐, MLS是为REALTOR买卖房屋而设置的系统.

区别是MLS是全北美的大型机构，而CREB是卡城一个地区的。
全北美现在房市处于轻度熊市，卡城仍然处于牛市状态。

smalltown

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-11-7 20:44 发表
参看《醉酒观察》，房子涨价的原因，是因为假数据，也就是10月最后10天的数据，是没有的。www.creb.com显然欺骗了很多人的眼睛。但是，逃不过我，因为每一个数据我都记得。

6 k6 q0 K3 S# i4 s$ aThe average price is meaningless as it is calculated based on the houses sold, and people are buying those cheap houses they can afford. The statistics couldn't reflect the reality of the market. According to the statistics, the average price in Calgary is almost same as Toronto. Can you buy same quality's house in Calgary as in Toronto? The anwser is no. House price in ALberta is the highest in the country excluding Vancouver. I could not predict how much price will drop, but I am pretty sure it will drop.