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Well, I think it is the time to long the US.
% ?; {+ u+ {7 Y5 aNow, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.8 A: x& R+ r- R
If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.* K, F' W0 C: x3 r& E- {
TD can give you 4.2%.
$ h1 b, K. M eBMO can give you 4.3%.
}0 a% s: C1 l' e% O6 DRBC can give you 4.0%.
) T! V2 u7 ?3 A. j q8 q2 w(Roughly)8 f, J& b( I, @" F9 i
If the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.2 y7 Y) Q" w q* p$ n" u, Q
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.( c+ c$ a+ X; t* z6 J
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.
( K# N, g% ^+ C! f8 t# D$ C2 rFrom the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
' e! o3 }! N3 QRough calculation:
" X& l0 T3 U/ ~, I$ Z5 yRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.036 r+ M" P9 H% c
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
( `; e9 P( z6 L5 I6 I/ oDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000
* ]; f( P" Z1 p) \" G1 q' ?3 MIf US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
. c* ~% U( a9 f' M! ^; E; hIf US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.& j% H" D7 l+ m) f
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
& g+ r* E7 X' G( o, b& kBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.* v9 O! d7 y* O& ~. T4 l! V/ U
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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