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Well, I think it is the time to long the US." T6 r, R# k* m+ c' i8 E) B
Now, there is so much pressure on Fed already from wallStreet.
5 k3 j' O2 {: G& B' {If we think in the other way, now, US vs CAD is almost 1:1. How about long some US dollar and do the term deposits.
- N7 \ \, K3 r4 H; s: oTD can give you 4.2%.) H# U3 h4 h9 z3 g
BMO can give you 4.3%./ \; B4 P* u: X' x, A4 @/ i
RBC can give you 4.0%.' B1 n4 M+ V+ y
(Roughly)
9 c# y+ j/ y5 M F1 k: XIf the US will appreciate in the next yr, I think it can give you around 10%.( L) u4 c6 o6 O9 i0 F, D" `
Also, this strategy is suitable for someone who has some US in hand or some conservative investors.# Q/ U$ b0 P$ G+ Q7 ?: i$ m8 K$ z) t
Also, some of the investor might wait until Sep, 18th, 2007 because the Fed will announce the rates again.2 O1 ?% j% ?! Y1 e1 s
From the reality, the pressure is around 25bps to 50bps, but we are not sure yet.
1 X! E1 u, z' b bRough calculation:
8 {( n% @0 E3 c, J" q4 hRight now, US vs CAD: 1:1.03* O: [7 a& F$ w; t2 o; d
Buy 10000 US cost you 105000
4 \; {3 A" p% I0 Y5 T" w$ E) Z) gDeposit 10000 US in one yr term deposit (one yr later): 104000( q- [* T& p+ o
If US appreciate to 1:1:10, you will have 114400 CAD.
! Z$ H2 Y1 t' Q8 X, c, N$ }If US depreciate to 1:0.90, you will have 93600 CAD.' w- e! B( \! \9 ~2 d1 g( [
I am not going to say which way you should go, that is the question you should arrive for yourself.
" W4 j. l# w9 q0 ]+ ?4 KBut, I am just saying another way to invest your money wisely.
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All above are my own opinions, PLEASE consider the risk you can take and other factors because I am NOT going to be responsible for any losses may occur to you in the future. Thank you. |
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