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本帖最后由 小曲 于 2011-6-8 14:55 编辑 8 S9 d5 @" L( o. A; L0 c% v
3 \; r3 ~6 I, kSignature Market Roundup
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+ e) i) F, `7 WEric Bushell% W7 P. N8 a j% ?
Senior Vice-President," w. N) C6 [* U) h; |
Portfolio Management$ k! z& `# r# q
and Chief Investment Officer2 E8 V' E! @4 H" A
+ ?' |6 Q$ @7 ~0 `( v- K9 W- W. x/ v' n9 y自lehman倒台后美国第二阶段的风险投资的恢复到四月底基本结束了。第一阶段是从2009三月到2010四月, 但被欧洲的债务危机和美国的减慢中断了。第二阶段是从美国联邦储备局2010年九月份开始的非传统的缓解政策,被称为QE2. 这个运作造成投资者抛售美金抢购房地产,商品期货,贷款,和股票。现在这个政策趋近结束,美金趋于稳定,这会帮助美国财政缩减,解除政卷市场的压力。面对美国QE2政策的成功,而世界其他地区都非常不稳定,现在可能是时候将投资定位到中性风险。: f5 w1 m' G' \/ w; k' K
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The second phase of the post-Lehman recovery in risky assets
) s3 E' I6 `7 h7 amay be drawing to a close in April 2011. The fi rst phase
' x4 ^. a$ p( L5 h3 cran from March 2009 to April 2010 and was halted by the. |: w6 L+ g+ \7 R6 r% q( [' L3 y1 H
European sovereign crisis and a U.S. slowdown. The second3 B, z# a/ w, L% h1 I9 L% H# S5 v
phase began with the U.S. Federal Reserve launching an
" g, {7 q$ V5 ^1 h8 p2 x5 vunconventional easing policy dubbed QE2 in September1 t) t) Y# K5 Q" e' y A' M
2010. This action saw investors exit the dollar and scramble9 \9 Z+ c, Z/ m# p! m/ R( Y4 i
for real assets ranging from property to commodities, credit! Y* q$ w" D9 [) L, l6 B7 \# G
and equities. As we near the end of this policy, prospects9 t# e% e0 p, t! G
for dollar stabilization grow; this would be helped through
! {8 w& M- L! i, SU.S. fi scal retrenchment and relief on the part of bond
6 M8 d. ~" n" t% ?! g: umarkets. Given the success of the policy and the heightened
- v' [4 c: `! A$ e. r9 g4 ]uncertainties elsewhere, it may be time to move to a more
+ D! }$ H; u4 kneutral risk positioning. |
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