Torrid! Hot Alberta house prices to continue

Magrath · 发表于 2006-10-19 19:13

October 19, 2006

Torrid! Hot Alberta house prices to continue
By IAN WILSON AND TIMOTHY LE RICHE, SUN MEDIA

Residential realty prices will rise faster in Calgary and Edmonton than anywhere else in the country next year, according to a forecast by ReMax.

The real estate organization is predicting the two Alberta cities will lead the nation in price growth for a second straight year, but "more balanced market conditions" are expected to emerge in 2007.

In Edmonton, prices are expected to rise an average of 25% this year and 10% in 2007, said ReMax. That would result in an average home price of $265,900 next year. Sales in Edmonton are forecast to rise 9% in 2006 and 5% next year, resulting in 21,300 residential realty transactions.

"We've had shortages of listings - more buyers than properties to put them in," said ReMax realtor Bill Briggs.

"I don't see anything in the Edmonton marketplace that's going to change. We've still got the massive investment in northern Alberta, interest rates are still very affordable, and there are still shortages of workers. We'll continue to have people come into the province."

Briggs accepts 10% price increases for next year as a fair guess, but said: "I don't know that we can sustain the types of increases we've had in the past year."

It's anticipated home prices in Calgary will have climbed an average of 40% by the end of this year and ReMax is calling for values to jump another 10% in 2007 in that city as well, bringing a typical price tag in Cowtown to $385,000.

"While the dramatic increase in price year-over-year has given some purchasers reason to pause, the anticipated 'correction' in prices is not expected to occur any time soon," said the report.

Affordability is a major issue, said Elton Ash -- executive vice-president for ReMax's Western Canada operations -- but buyers are "getting more creative in their approach to home ownership, considering alternatives to single-detached homes such as semi and row housing, townhouses and condominium apartments."

Other strategies include purchasing outside of the city centre and getting mortgages with a longer amortization period.

Yesterday's ReMax report is the latest in a series heralding Alberta's blistering hot real estate market.

On Tuesday, the Real Estate Network ranked Edmonton as the province's most friendly city for investment. Last week, Canada Mortgage and Housing reported a 25% increase in the number of houses under construction in greater Edmonton in the first nine months of the year compared to last year - with no slowdown in sight.

elephant · 发表于 2006-10-19 20:27

大凡是预测的东东,都是不准的.

苹果鸭梨 · 发表于 2006-10-19 21:50

大家都在预测人民币会升值, 你要不要反着做啊?

十年移民路_ · 发表于 2006-10-19 22:33

原帖由 Magrath 于 2006-10-19 19:13 发表2 h% G. b/ l: ?3 @9 B3 R9 I
October 19, 2006 9 Q' }8 L$ [( {2 Y4 J. M
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Torrid! Hot Alberta house prices to continue
# z) _' H0 V' O& i. Y1 k; GBy IAN WILSON AND TIMOTHY LE RICHE, SUN MEDIA
7 {5 q% ~2 n! _$ w2 y5 d m1 a7 U3 X0 t
Residential realty prices will rise faster in Calgary and Edmonton than anywhere ...

我个人的看法，明年房子涨 10%- 15% 是较可能的。大家看一看大街上，那么多的外地车在跑，在过去几十年里是没有过的，人要住房子，新房子也开工很慢。房子会跌到那里去？

买房子自己住和投资是完全不同的，自己住的话，30 万的房子，晚买一年要多花 3 万。投资不一样，那要考虑到贷款的利率，税务，等等。这两种情形有时一样，但有时在操作时间上不一样。
我要卖房子，我当然认为对我的个人情况是最好的，但对那个买家来说，也是他认为最好的。这就是自由市场经济的根本原理。
总之，个人要根据个人的情况来决定。

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2006-10-19 22:44

如果年底回调超过10%，那么明年涨价10-15%是可能的，否则，如果不回调醉酒感觉不会到10%那么高，可能在3%左右。

十年移民路_ · 发表于 2006-10-19 23:16

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-10-19 22:44 发表# R- ^$ r/ e# R( i0 E0 }
如果年底回调超过10%，那么明年涨价10-15%是可能的，否则，如果不回调醉酒感觉不会到10%那么高，可能在3%左右。

也就两个月了，在爱城，回调超过10%是不太可能的，目前还没有回调啊。

Z · 发表于 2006-10-20 11:19

原帖由 苹果鸭梨 于 2006-10-19 21:50 发表
' r& x+ B& h% Y) ^' H- a' v大家都在预测人民币会升值, 你要不要反着做啊?

我预测人民币会贬值，但手头没有人民币，咋办？

十年移民路_ · 发表于 2006-10-20 22:15

原帖由 Z 于 2006-10-20 11:19 发表
9 i# C1 [0 ~0 Z. Q' ~
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我预测人民币会贬值，但手头没有人民币，咋办？

醉老弟不是告诉你了吗？不要买进就是了，等一等再看。

醉酒当歌 · 发表于 2006-10-21 11:22

卡城在进行。爱城也许有些滞后，大家拭目以待吧，如果不回调，明年的房市可能波动很小，低迷的一年。

原帖由 十年移民路_ 于 2006-10-19 23:16 发表
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也就两个月了，在爱城，回调超过10%是不太可能的，目前还没有回调啊。

音响神仙鱼 · 发表于 2006-10-22 08:22

原帖由 Z 于 2006-10-20 11:19 发表' \4 u4 }7 H4 z8 V
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* }4 m- X% l3 P5 T4 K0 u3 F' `$ t' I
我预测人民币会贬值，但手头没有人民币，咋办？

Haha, you are upstreaming fish, Ding!

音响神仙鱼 · 发表于 2006-10-22 08:23

原帖由 醉酒当歌 于 2006-10-21 11:22 发表
5 f1 b5 ?* Y i" Q' |. k 卡城在进行。爱城也许有些滞后，大家拭目以待吧，如果不回调，明年的房市可能波动很小，低迷的一年。' g6 w: t3 b/ n0 @

% h# ]: f$ e& l& C1 K

10%的升幅不算低迷了.大家拭目以待吧

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